five celebrities on the market: A stock has begun to enter the last big wave
REVIEW: DR 100 c: earnest understanding of the central spirit of the stock market firm up document Husband: 10 000 points the Dow or slide into the abyss of the waves A shares based on the final has been set up Zhilin: 07VS08 early Quotes Comparison Huarong: In late January forward and attack or retreat to PI Hai Chau: Small plates ETF (market equity) market will be more exciting topics for Water Paper: The oil price refuses to return …………….. ………………………… Hsieh c: earnest understanding of the central spirit of the recent stock market firm up — the Chinese economy and the stock market hot Analysis glad to see Qi Cheng A shares on the 6000 from July 21, 2005, RMB appreciation has been, A-share market firm up, the appreciation of the yen than the Japanese stock market in 1985-1990, go practical, than the appreciation of Taiwan’s NT moderate fluctuations in 1985-1990. Every time a big drop, always stopped at 25%; 1:00 stuck, loss of investors, as long as the shares held by the hands of better adhere to 1 — 2 months, it will be a loss to come back up. This three-year bull market, the worst of people is more than a decade, suffering investors stuck with the old lessons. \Broader market in 2007 rose 94%, they rose by 30 — 50%, and some also lose out. The middle level is done firmly Watching some good stocks for investors. Of course, gold has been guarding the high-quality stocks are the biggest winners. It is reported that on January 9, 1033 A shares have been stubborn to back above 6,000 points,power leveling, 74% back. The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (market share it), China Petroleum (market share it) such as tape (5400 points so far in the following peristalsis) of the laggards, but as long as is a rose. Some good blue chip Friday continued to compensatory growth. China’s 6000 million people (in the two cities account for 1.2 — 125 million), on the whole, is really very good the. They do not lose heart, do not be discouraged, the use of overseas countries investors do not have the special weapons: 1. Seriously understand the central spirit; 2. Serious study of Mao Zedong’s military thought, \I hit my \This is really the theory with Chinese characteristics, combined with Buffett’s theory, very much. (Sichuan financial investment report) document Husband: 10 000 points the Dow or slide into the abyss of A shares based on the last big wave of Wall Street the Dow Jones industrial average has been established (market share it) Although last Thursday night speech by Bernanke to cut interest rates incentives arising from the rebound, but may not change the medium-term downward trend in U.S. stocks, Jiu Xiang document husband back in 2 months before the article pointed out that the U.S. stock market bull market cycle has ended, the Chinese stock market despite the short term may be involved on the impact of weak U.S. stocks, but China’s bull market cycle, at least one year later than the end of U.S. stocks, which sooner or later is going to get rid of the effects of independent and progressive market. Although many people still have some fantasy, but the U.S. economy into recession is an indisputable fact. The World Bank recently released economic forecast, the growth rate of the U.S. economy in 2008 will be only 1.9%, well below the growth rate over the past year. And more institutional investors forecast the U.S. economy in the first quarter of negative growth is possible, generally, if two consecutive quarters of an economy slowdown, then it can be characterized as a recession. Linked to the U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s speech, we find that, for the U.S. economy, optimism has dissipated, the ingredients have been more and more pessimistic, he even said: aroused sharp economic slowdown is expected to cut interest rates. But rate cuts may not help improve the U.S. economy in the short time since, continuing to cut interest rates will make U.S. efforts to deal with inflation last year wiped out. The U.S. government has in fact caught in a dilemma, they most want to watch the phenomenon of stagflation. And pessimistic forecasts on the U.S. economy is completely different, the World Bank on China’s economic growth is still relatively optimistic forecasts made by its forecast that China’s economic growth next year to reach 10.8%, this is still going strong on the Chinese government effective macro-control based on the forecast. Because of severe macro-economists have been coming year on the Chinese economy has made a variety of negative factors rather cautious forecast. In general, the stronger macro control measures, the greater room to relax, so that document husband, intensively control policy is bound to be a degree of real relaxation. U.S. and China’s economic prospects have been very different to the stock market accurately reflects the trend on. Dow Jones industrial average began to fall from more than 14,000 points, has now dropped more than 12,800 points, but on the technical trend analysis,runescape power leveling, the possibility of short-term rebound does not exist, because the index has fallen through all the technical support level, possible decline in the first quarter to be considered the top end of 10,000 points. However, from the A share point of view, the stage of involvement in the Dow Jones index has ended, its impact is gradually out of U.S. stock market out of its own separate market. View from the recent 10 trading days, U.S. stocks dropped about 600 points, but China’s stock market rose more than 250 points, a strong feature is very clear, this is the broad-market index stocks where there collective break the case, once the target Unit starts, contrast will be more intense. A stock’s recent strong performance of the other signs are not the callback in case of resistance. Document husband in the previous article has 5200 points and 5450 points,aion power leveling, a rebound process as an important resistance level, near the broader market in 5200 with a correction, but in 5450 refused to near correction, but the chosen cross plate finish, and very strong performance in the session, the driving force is sufficient long rebound. Macro regulation and control is expected to slow the pace of China’s stock market up, but you can believe that the impact of macro-control on the stock market will be fully released in the first quarter, more and more uncertain factors, investors will choose to eliminate all doubt again after the massive entry City, and the index finished up the last big wave of foundation has been established. (China Times) Zhilin: 07VS08 comparative market early next year following a small plate means (market share it) the number of small plates KLCI, the card 500 (market share it) after the index hit a record high this week, the KLCI has deep refresh-time high, the majority of China’s stock market appears hot stocks market situation, can not help worrying that in 2007 from January to May junk stocks eventually go to heaven, \How to do both the flow, to grasp market opportunities and maintain the wit, from lock-in risk? I think the comparison between the same two year price differences is helpful. The same market incentives and focus on the two mainstream market beginning in terms of motivation, in addition to the Olympic theme of this year, the overwhelming majority are the same. For example, a large area of pre-HI Express Annual Report, performance significantly supernormal growth; accelerate the pace of RMB appreciation; large cap loose during the expansion of office; \biggest \Objectively speaking, this is not just money-driven market, but has the fundamentals to support the reasonable price. The beginning of the mainstream market on the two hot spots of view, are focused on the annual reports excellent performance during the most attractive, high growth, with small cap stocks in the right; growth, expansion idea is better than pure value as the valuation concept ; vast majority of trading days was \Different market background, situation and direction of the one surrounding the negative market environment. U.S. monetary policy early in 2007 mainly to curb inflation, interest rates, and early in 2008 more than a subprime mortgage crisis, leading to economic weakness, recession, monetary policy is mainly to reverse the deflation, cut interest rates, depreciation of the dollar and trigger a substantial international resources such as oil price rise increased the pressure on inflation in China. Meanwhile, U.S. stocks plummeted at every turn directly affect the volatility of Hong Kong stocks on Chinese stock market have some negative impact. 2, AH shares spread widening. Early in 2007 AH price difference index is 128-135, but early in 2008 raised to 188. The most typical is the oil-A shares more than 30 yuan, while the H shares only 13 yuan. (Sichuan financial investment report) Huarong: January retreat in late forward and attack and defend vocational expert that, in mid-January is a sensitive period of the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets, their sensitivities are: the management began to strengthen market supervision, for some knock behavior and gains on the stock too crazy expressed dissatisfaction; tape IPO news gradually clear, risk-free income on the body still has a strong appeal; with the index continued to rise, the number of shares that fell Comparison of the beginning of a change. This sensitivity is likely to lead to three points early rise in stocks, especially small plates, Olympic plates, agricultural plates, chemical plate, power plate have certain technical correction more likely. However, due to broad-market index stocks, such as banking stocks, PetroChina (601857) and other varieties in the last month and basically had no inflation, this index does not exist too much room for adjustment. Before and after the New Year and Spring Festival market, the first three quarters of last year may be more similar to the market, but a narrow board. That is, from last December to mid January this year, is the subject shares rose, the fund Awkwardness of rest; from January to the middle of the Spring Festival this section, subject stock adjustment, the new dishes are heavy on relatively modest funds are subject to stock up ( Note: It is not broad-market index stocks rose, which is incompatible with the wishes of management). Thus, from now to the actual optimal strategy during the Spring Festival relatively clear: the transfer of convertible positions. For larger gains, the stock build-up had already been sounded to end rallies in batches; new hot stocks. The new hot spot may be the son of S shares and float caps around the one million shares of the fund or QFII Masukura; in position, the better position to maintain a half, forward and attack, or retreat to safety, to maintain a good attitude. Looking ahead this week’s trend, the index will be a more stable situation, but the relatively large stocks differentiation, ups and downs are two different worlds. In actual combat, we should select stocks, selection of individual stocks, convertible notes is very important positions. The next stage, the vocational expert is the most promising varieties of Qianjiang Water Resources (600 283). The reasons are: the company of Silicon Valley Venture Capital Holdings, Ltd. Zhejiang Heaven equity, with the launch of the GEM constant date draws near, the strong venture capital stocks is a clearer expectations. According to the three quarterly, the stock has more than ten shareholders of circulation funds and QFII holding Shigekura, accounting for more than 31% in circulation, are life bet stocks. If the stock is too heavy a continuous increase can not be chasing too high, you can also have the potential of S-Lucky (market share it) (600 135). (China Times) PI Hai Chau: Small board market will be more exciting since December 2007 has been the trend of small plates is stronger than the Main Board. Struggling to build in the motherboard market, \However, the small board index hit in the 3 January 6493 a new high after a few days later, the motherboard’s stock continued to rise, small and medium board index but the trend of consolidation occurred, as well as some investors worried about small and medium market is not taken the board. This fear is a completely superfluous. From last November 29 of 4941 point rise this year on January 3 of 6493 points, small board index rose 30%, resulting in the consolidation in recent days is normal. And now small board index adjustment is very limited, basically oriented sideways, this correction is very strong. It is believed that, after consolidation, the board will set foot on l Small purposes, small plates of good play yet to come. The spring, now is the beginning of 2008. From the Chinese stock market history, the beginning of the year became the high point of the year is basically market had not occurred, the beginning is usually safe to buy stocks, are all opportunities for profit. The reason why, on the one hand as the new year, it was kicked off last year when year-end distribution, therefore, the market will always be a wave of price performance wave of speculation; the other hand, in March each year have once again the \\So the stock market early next year is relatively safe,wow power leveling, the stock market can not form a high point early in the year, not to mention the market in the first half of the 2008 bull market is still generally accepted. In this case, the same small board index will continue higher. But more importantly, the market performance in 2007 wave of speculation, small plate units will be one of the protagonists in this arena. Performance wave of speculation, on the one hand is the good performance of listed companies speculation, on the other hand is a more important point is that speculation profit distribution of listed companies. Look past the hype from high school now and get transferred all the high sought after markets. However, from this year’s situation, the current high stock prices of listed companies, the charm of high school now will be decreased, contrary to send to switch more easily with high market regimes. Small plates in this regard is undoubtedly an advantage for individual stocks. Since last December, the reason why small and medium plate market is stronger in the motherboard, in fact, that is, small and medium plate market in 2007 year-end allocation of stocks to send to switch full of high expectations. Distribution of small plates high in 2007 to send transfer is definitely worth waiting for. 2007 is the company’s big expansion of small and medium plate year, newly listed companies this year reached 96, accounting for a small plate half of the total company. With 52 listed in 2006, two years to reach 148 listed companies. These newly listed companies, most of the good performance of the company share capital of a small, solid capital fund, has strong ability of capital expansion. Small plates from the company’s development, it also requires the company’s share capital bigger, in this regard Suning Appliance (market share it) (002 024) is a good example. And, from the perspective of return investors, small and medium companies have launched high board to send the necessary transfer program. Since 2007, most stocks listed on the SME Board Gaokaidizou well as the investment of such stock investors suffered heavy losses. Therefore, these companies need to deliver high-transfer program to send out the cost of dilution to investors, reducing investor losses. It was on such high expectations turn to send, so the current market is only small plate of a wave of performance preparation, the real fun has sent small board company switch to the distribution of high-launched when the annual report. By then, the small plate market will become even more exciting. (China Times) Water Paper topics for: in the history of the oil price would not return to the whim of the little people sometimes are created or natural, such as the First World War, such as the British Barings bankruptcy, another example, the front of one hundred U.S. dollars in oil prices. New York time on Jan. 3, 2008, Richard Arens, an independent dealer prices because we wanted to test what the maximum limit, so from my colleagues to buy a minimum of 1,000 barrels of crude oil, no intention of setting a price between 100 dollar record. Prior to this, oil is 99.53 U.S. dollars, Arens transaction is completed, oil prices instantly jump to 100 dollars, then fell to 99.40 U.S. dollars will be, Arens not only failed to make money, but a loss of 600 dollars, and if he the day did not stop, then the next day will be extended to 1000 U.S. dollars loss, if not open today, the damage will extend to 5000 U.S. dollars. 100 U.S. dollars for oil is so produced, is not surprising that there are observers doubt the validity of this price, 1,000 barrels of crude oil in the mischief will change history? In fact, long-term trend of oil prices look from the past 20 years has been hovering at 20 U.S. dollars. December 1998 low of 10 U.S. dollars, in July 1999, before easing back to 20 U.S. dollars, in February 2000 to over 30 U.S. dollars, which then has fallen below 20 U.S. dollars, in May 2004 Mogao 40 U.S. dollars, from a stage beyond out of hand, almost straight up to near 80 U.S. dollars, but did not last long, in October 2006 it fell below 60 U.S. dollars, then move up again in 2007, up nearly 60% among the hitting around 99 U.S. dollars. Rose to 40 dollars from 10 dollars spent five years, from 40 dollars to 80 U.S. dollars spent four years, from 80 dollars to 100 U.S. dollars only 4 months, that is, the more oil prices rise, the sharper , more and more steep slope, nearly a year continuous rise in share price gains as the same is put up to go completely futures speculation. Why is there such a frenzied crude oil futures speculation of what type? Market demand can not explain, because as the largest oil consuming country in 30 years the U.S. dependence on oil has declined from 25% to 7%, so we find that the American government inaction, the attitude of OPEC more telling, because OPEC is simply not to increase production; to the same geo-politics can not be explained, the CIA published the report of Iran without nuclear weapons not only an embarrassment to Bush, more importantly, eliminated the excuse to fight Iran, the Middle East, flame war, oil supply will be affected Jiubu , Moreover, oil prices rise, profits are the biggest enemy of the United States, Russia and Venezuela are oil revenues by expanding the national power; factors in the development of China and India the same can not be explained, as early as oil prices hit 40 dollars high, the international market, there are Chinese, \and energy conservation into the mainstream, the per capita energy consumption is more than a fraction of the United States, where it will lead to oil prices rose 10 times in 10 years? ! Wild speculation is the main oil investment bank. Oil at 60 dollars, Goldman Sachs predicted oil prices to 100 dollars, when many people thought impossible, but when oil prices close to 99 dollars, Goldman Sachs began to release bearish report. Someone has had to find an international investment bank’s profits, the profits of investment banks in 2007 half of crude oil futures trading, and further found that it is within the investment banking division of labor, engage in subprime investments and engage in investment in both crude oil futures focal point by a responsible person. Secondary loss of housing debt has led to Morgan Stanley, Citigroup, Bear Stearns, UBS Investment Bank funds such faults, the speculation in crude oil futures on both the pull of the needs, but also desperate needs. Oil prices soaring in a straight line after the outbreak of the subprime crisis comprehensively, perhaps this is the best explanation. Water skin in a recent speech, again and again to remind you, the international oil prices have posed medium-term impact on share prices in China. If oil prices remain high or rise even higher, it will affect the trend of China’s CPI, the CPI because the composition of our grain and meat prices accounted for 30% of the ratio; if the CPI continued the trend of high, it will affect our view on inflation, tight monetary policy implementation and effectiveness of the management of listed companies to pressure. More importantly, if oil prices Xiabu Qu, then the price of oil, refused to return, while the oil does not return to the lack of room to rise, the rise in the strength and no guarantee. In fact, the water in the skin of the talk, which has pointed out, 82 have been thanks to the widespread phenomenon, the feeling in the last week has been evidenced by the statistics. 1060 the company’s share price has now returned to Shanghai index 6000 points, this figure accounted for 60% of all listed companies. Shenzhen Stock Index (market share it) has returned more than 19,100 points, from a high of 19,600 points, a step away, but the Shanghai index was 5400 points, reason is that 17 heavyweight including the suppression of oil . 30 yuan in the vicinity of the oil still in consolidation for how long? (China Times) Financial Home is more exciting: Fan Fuchun snapped angrily: never said the government \Deputy Director of the Department; recently in Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Wuhan and many other cities are \Two daily headlines, you Xiangjie financial affairs. 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